Sports gambling can be quite profitable if an individual know the secrets and techniques often the “smart money” bettors work with to consistently make funds. One of the primary secrets that clever money bettors use is definitely knowing when NOT in order to bet.
Here’s a excellent case in point. We analyzed often the Western Virginia vs. Louisville video game, and concluded that will West California had often the edge in the sport. However , My partner and i also realized that there were a great deal of random and unpredictable factors, and recommended to my clients that they do not wager on this particular game. Here is my own analysis I released just before the game:
West Virginia vs . Louisville
This video game provides all the indicators of being one connected with the very best games involving the year, together with each teams coming into the action 7-0. It’s #3 ranked West Virginia versus. #5 ranked Louisville, both equally with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s video game was a classic, using West Virginia coming again from appearing down big in the 4th 1 fourth to winning within overtime, however,.
So what’s the action look like this year?
If this activity were being played from some sort of basic field, West Florida will probably be a 4-6 point favorite. Since typically the game is Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this will make sense…
West Virginia is definitely on an unprecedented move. They will haven’t lost considering April. 1, 2005, heading 14-0 since they shed to Las vegas Tech. In the last two conditions they’re 13-5 ATS as well. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last on the lookout for video games overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their final 10 PATH games.
These are some very remarkable stats that tilt the particular scales in favor associated with WVU regarding tonight’s game. Plus, the particular added in bonus offer is that WVU is usually GETTING +1 point. This may not seem to be like quite a bit, but in a close match-up such as this, that special point will make the variation between a new push plus a loss.
But what about Louisville?
Louisville’s figures are generally almost as good like WVU’s -except when it comes to Louisville within the point spread. In their own last 10 games, Louisville is merely 4-6 ATS. The fact that said, Louisville is still 7-3 ATS in their final 10 home video games.
Together with if you’re leaning in the direction of WVU, here’s a frightening stat… Louisville hasn’t missing in your own home since 12 , eighteen, the year 2003! During this recent run Louisville is averaging 49. 5 points for each game in the home, while averaging only leaving behind 15. 6 points each game on home. In case an individual failed to do the math concepts, that means considering their very own last home reduction they have already averaged beating his or her adversaries by about 34 factors per game.
In addition extraordinary, the average line in these games has only been 21 points. That means Louisville has beaten often the get spread around, on average, by simply 13 details per sport at home due to the fact the year 2003.
Wow… how can you not in favor of that?
Here’s precisely how…
The majority of those stats have been established during the 2006 season. This season, 2006, Louisville has been closer to good than great. They have already had recent games through which they have already only scored twenty eight, 23, 24 points. www.ufabet168s.com/%E0%B8%9A%E0%B8%B2%E0%B8%84%E0%B8%B2%E0%B8%A3%E0%B9%88%E0%B8%B2%E0%B8%AA%E0%B8%B2%E0%B8%A2%E0%B8%9F%E0%B9%89%E0%B8%B2 of video games weren’t against Kansas Stycken. or Michigan. These people were being against Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St.
In essence that this is still a good close video game to call. Yet the things i look for is West Virginia’s protection to carry the time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St. can almost all hold Louisville under 35 points, then there’s not any factor to think WVU can’t have one to often the low to middle 20’s. My honest endorsement is definitely to lay off this kind of game and not really bet at all. There are better game titles this weekend break with more simple rewards.
The final score of this game was Louisville forty-four, West Florida 34. Lousiville won because West Va had 6 fumbles plus allowed Lousiville to gain a good punt for some sort of TD. The results was that West Virginia’s edge was not so big that they can may still win after doing so many mistakes. By way of not betting on this specific game, people serious with regards to sports betting saved money they can put to better employ on approaching games.