Activities wagering is often very rewarding if a person Understand Often the tricks typically the “smart money” bettors make use of to constantly make money. One of the greatest secrets that sensible money bettors use will be knowing when NOT to help Playing.

Here’s a best illustration. I actually analyzed typically the Western Va vs. Louisville activity, and concluded that West Las vegas had typically the edge in the match. Nonetheless My partner and i also came to the realization that there have been a whole lot of random and capricious factors, and recommended to a clients that they do not wager on this kind of game. Here is our analysis I released ahead of the game:

West Virginia vs . Louisville

This game has all the signals of being one involving the best games associated with the year, along with equally teams coming into the overall game 7-0. It’s #3 rated West Virginia as opposed to. #5 ranked Louisville, equally with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s activity was a classic, together with Western Virginia coming back again from becoming down large in the independence day quarter to winning around overtime.

So what’s the adventure seem like this year?

If this sport were getting played in a new neutral field, West Florida will probably be a 4-6 place favorite. Since the particular game is at Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this makes sense…

West Virginia will be on an unprecedented roll. That they haven’t lost due to the fact Oct. 1, 2005, proceeding 14-0 since they shed to Va Tech. In the last two periods they’re 13-5 ATS at the same time. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last dokuz video games overall, and 8-2 ATS in their previous 10 STREET games.

These are some very outstanding stats that tilt the scales in favor of WVU to get tonight’s online game. Plus, the particular additional bonus offer is that WVU will be GETTING +1 point. This might not seem like much, but in a close match-up similar to this, that spare point might make the difference between a new push and a loss.

But what about Louisville?

Louisville’s statistics are really almost as good while WVU’s -except when it comes to Louisville within the point spread. In their particular last 10 games, Louisville is simply 4-6 ATS. Of which said, Louisville is even so 7-3 ATS within their final 10 home video games.

In addition to if you’re leaning in the direction of WVU, here’s a scary stat… Louisville hasn’t missing in your house since Dec 20, the year 2003! During this latest run Louisville is averaging 49. some points per game at home, while averaging only leaving behind 15. six points for each game at home. In case you did not do the math, that means due to the fact their very own last home decline they already have averaged beating their opposing team by about thirty four items per game.

In addition outstanding, the average line during these games has only been recently 21 points. That means Louisville has beaten the particular range, on average, by way of 13 things per activity at home given that 2003.

Wow… how can an individual go against that?

Here’s how…

Almost all of those stats ended up accumulated during the 2006 season. This season, 2006, Louisville has been closer to good than great. They also have experienced recent games by which they also have only scored twenty eight, twenty three, 24 points. That game titles weren’t against Ohio Stycken. or Michigan. They will were being against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St.

The bottom line is that this is still a close video game to contact. But what I look with regard to is West Virginia’s safeguard to carry the day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St. can all hold Louisville under 25 points, then there’s not any explanation to think WVU can’t have one to this low to mid 20’s. My honest advice can be to lay off this kind of game and definitely not wager at all. There usually are better game titles this saturday and sunday with more clear-cut rewards.

The final score with this game was Louisville 44, West California 34. Lousiville won because West Florida had 6 fumbles and allowed Lousiville to go back some sort of punt for the TD. The bottom line was of which West Virginia’s border was not so big they may still win right after doing so many mistakes. By simply not betting on this specific activity, people significant with regards to gambling saved money that they can offer better make use of on upcoming games.


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